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Commodities News

Up-to-date news on raw materials


FT Mercati provides subscribers with a dedicated commodities news bulletin to stay up-to-date.
Here is a selection of the latest news:

10/31/2025

LME REBUILDING TRUST AND LIQUIDITY, CHAIRMAN WILLIAMSON INTERVIEW

Key takeaways:
1) The nickel crisis of 2022 had tested LME systems, its governance and its reputation. Three years later, Williamson says that the LME is “no longer the ugly duckling”, but is now an exchange regaining confidence, focus and trust.
In his view, the nickel crisis proved to be a turning point.
“Much has been learned from the nickel event, not least in terms of our surveillance of what’s happening in the broader market, and the need for us to have access to as much information as possible, on both the over-the-counter [OTC] and exchange business,” he said. “I think we’re in a better place there.”

2) Driving modernization and sustainability: Williamson’s tenure emphasizes electronic pricing, enhanced transparency, and sustainability initiatives like the Dubai-based CPAL for greener metals. The exchange introduced daily price limits, enhanced data collection on OTC positions, and other measures that helped to facilitate a more comprehensive and proactive approach to risk monitoring.
Williamson’s tenure has been defined by a push to modernize – from electronic pricing and enhanced liquidity programs to IT system upgrades and new product development. It is a strategy that he defines as “evolution, not revolution.”
The exchange has rolled out electronic closing prices and market structure reforms intended to increase transparency and attract a wider pool of participants.
Beyond technology, Williamson is also driving a longer-term strategy concerning sustainability and global reach. One of his key priorities is the creation of the Commodity Pricing and Analysis Ltd (CPAL) operation in Dubai, a major step in developing a premium market for greener metal.
Williamson sees the project as part of the LME’s role to help the industry to recognize and reward lower-carbon production.

3) Strengthened global partnerships: Closer ties with HKEX have fueled expansion, governance reforms, and strategic growth, positioning the LME for a dynamic future
According to Williamson, the LME’s relationship with parent company HKEX has become closer and, strategically, more aligned.
That partnership has already borne fruit, with rapid expansion of warehouses in Hong Kong (where 12 have opened this year) and the planned establishment of the Dubai office, among other initiatives.
Williamson also credits HKEX’s support with accelerating governance and cultural reform at the LME.

10/31/2025

QUARTERLY REPORT WITH UPWARD MOMENTUM – STONE X

Aluminium posted gains of 3.2% over the quarter and 5.1% over the year, however, it has been unable to keep pace with copper and tin this year, with the negative impact of trade uncertainty resulting in the World Bank downgrading global growth in 2025, in turn limiting the outlook for aluminium’s largest end-use sector, the construction market.
Meanwhile, despite robust demand for aluminium in China in fast-growing demand areas such as solar and renewable energy, overcapacity in the sector is set to see high levels after a peak in H1, while domestic production for China is on course to hit a new record this year.
Looking to the months ahead, attention will be paid to the disparity in global stocks, challenging the outlook for a global price trend, with regional divergence expected. However, upward momentum should be supported by low stocks on the LME and indeed seasonality demand in China.

10/31/2025

BASKET OPEC PRELIMINARY PRICE

OPECNA, the news agency of OPEC, announced the OPEC Basket preliminary price
30 october = $ 66.46 /b (up from previous daily value)
(The OPEC Reference Basket (ORB) introduced on 16 June 2005, is currently made up of the following: Algeria, Angola, Congo, Ecuador, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia , UAE and Venezuela.

10/31/2025

QUARTERLY REPORT – STONE X

Tin holds the position as the second best performing base metal over the quarter, and leading base metal for the year (+21.8%). Gains have been underpinned by ongoing supply tightness with Chinese refined output remaining in the red on the back of limited exports from its largest importer Myanmar, while global visible exchange stocks remain depleted.
Looking ahead, with mine production in key producing regions (Indonesia, Myanmar and the DRC) still in recovery mode, in addition to tin’s small market size, STONE X sees tin prices as vulnerable to the upside. Also, with LME speculative positioning hovering near record long highs, the question of just how much higher prices can go, must be asked.

10/31/2025

QUARTERLY REPORT – STONE X

Copper holds the position as the third best performing base metal over the quarter, up 4.0%, with annual gains of 17.1%. Copper prices over 2025 have been almost solely driven firstly by expectations surrounding the outcome of US tariffs by Section 232, lifting LME Copper 3M prices well above their fundamentals on artificial tightness over H1.
Looking to year-end, with the COMEX-LME arbitrage having fallen back to levels at end-2024, we expect copper to gradually take back its characteristics of being Dr. Copper and once again be relied on as a bellwether for the global economy.
With this in mind, STONE X expects a sharp refocus on copper’s underlying fundamentals to predict future prices, most notably with developments in Indonesia. Indeed here, on the suspension of all mining operations at the world’s second largest copper mine (Grabserg) STONE X lowered production forecasts for 2025 and 2026, with it first annual decline since 2017 this year, with refined output growth of just 1.0% Y/Y. This is set against steady demand growth 2.0% Y/Y, supported by copper’s use in renewables, the power sector, NEV and digital applications, pushing the market into a modest deficit of 124,000t, from a surplus market in 2024.

10/31/2025

ALUMINIUM FOIL AND ITS END USES CURRENT TRENDS AND FORECAST TILL 2030

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