11/18/2025
OUTLOOK SUPPLY FOR 2025 and 2026 – ILZSG
According to the International Lead and Zinc Study Group in its last report, world zinc mine production is forecast to rise by 4.6% to 12.51 million tonnes in 2025. In 2026, In 2026, a further rise of 2.4% to 12.80 million tonnes is anticipated.
EUROPEAN output is forecast to increase substantially by this year, benefiting from higher production in Bosnia and Herzegovina, Ireland, Portugal, the Russian Federation and Sweden.
In 2026, European output is anticipated to continue to rise, primarily as a consequence of the imminent reopening of the Aljustrel operation in Portugal.
Rises are also expected in CHINA, South Africa and Peru, mainly as a result of higher output at the Antamina mine and the reopening of the Iskaycruz operation. In the Democratic Republic of Congo, production will increase, due to additional output from the Kipushi mine, which was commissioned in June 2024.
In 2026, also increases in Australia, Brazil, the Democratic Republic of Congo and China,
The Group anticipates that world refined zinc metal production will rise by 2.7% to 13.80 million tonnes in 2025. In 2026, global output is forecast to grow by a further 2.4% to 14.13 million tonnes.
In CHINA, growth of 6.2% is expected in 2025, mainly as a consequence of the recent commissioning of a substantial amount of new capacity. Production is also expected to increase in Norway, where Boliden completed a 150,000 tonne per year expansion at its Odda smelter in March.
In 2026, global output will benefit from greater availably of concentrates and rises are forecast in Brazil, Canada, Norway and China, where a 500,000 tonne per year capacity smelter, vertically integrated with the Huoshaoyun mine, is expected to initiate commercial production.